Book
Why Nonnuclear States Fight Nuclear Armed Opponents​
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Cornell University Press (2019)
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Click here for replication code and here for the data used in the book. Click here for data on conflict over time in nuclear monopoly.
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Refereed Journal Articles

New Critiques of the Nuclear Revolution ​
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Texas National Security Review, Vol. 6, No. 2 (Spring 2023)
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Does Social Science Inform Foreign Policy?
Evidence from a Survey of US National Security, Trade, and Development Officials​
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With Michael C. Desch, Eric Parajon, Susan Peterson, Ryan Powers, and Michael J. Tierney
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International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 66, No. 1 (March 2022)
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Narrowing the Academic-Policy Divide
Will New Media Bridge the Gap?
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With Michael C. Desch, Ana Petrova, and Steven L. Wilson
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Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 136, No. 4 (Winter 2021-22)
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The online appendix is available here.

U.S. Expert Views on Nuclear Deterrence, Coercion, and Non-Use Norms​
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Foreign Policy Analysis, Vol. 17, No. 2 (April 2021)
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The online appendix is available here, raw numbers for figures here, data log file is available here, replication code is available here, and data here.
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The Historical Rarity of Foreign-Deployed Nuclear Weapon Crises
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Security Studies, Vol. 27, No. 1 (January-March 2018)
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Click here for the online appendix and here for replication code for the appendix tables.
International Relations Theory and U.S. Grand Strategy
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With Jonathan N. Markowitz and Robert J. Reardon
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Texas National Security Review, Vol. 2, No. 1 (November 2018)
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Do US Troop Withdrawals Cause Instability?
Evidence from Two Exogenous Shocks on the Korean Peninsula
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With Jonathan N. Markowitz and Robert J. Reardon
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Journal of Global Security Studies, Vol. 3, No. 1 (January 2018), 72-92
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Click here for the online appendix and here for the data.
The Role of Nuclear Non-Use Norms in Confrontations between Nuclear and Non-Nuclear Opponents
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Security Studies, Vol. 24, No. 4 (October-December 2015): 563-596.
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Read the International Security Studies Forum article review here.
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What Do Policymakers Want From Us?
Results of a Survey of Current and Former National Security Decision Makers
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With Michael C. Desch
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International Studies Quarterly Vol. 58, No. 2 (June 2014): 227-246.
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Read additional discussions here, here, and the International Studies Quarterly symposium here.
U.S. Policy during the Early Cold War
International Security, Vol. 36, No. 4 (Spring 2012): 151-188
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Read the International Security Studies Forum article review here.
Book Chapters
Selected Commentary
The Icebreaker Gap Doesn't Mean America is Losing in the Arctic
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War on the Rocks, November 28, 2019​
