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Tempting Fate:

Why Nonnuclear States Fight Nuclear Armed Opponents

Cornell University Press (2019)

Click here for replication code and here for the data used in the book. Click here for data on conflict over time in nuclear monopoly. 

Refereed Journal Articles

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Does Social Science Inform Foreign Policy? 

Evidence from a Survey of US National Security, Trade, and Development Officials​

With Michael C. Desch, Eric Parajon, Susan Peterson, Ryan Powers, and Michael J. Tierney

International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 66, No. 1 (March 2022) 

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Narrowing the Academic-Policy Divide

Will New Media Bridge the Gap? 

With Michael C. Desch, Ana Petrova, and Steven L. Wilson

Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 136, No. 4 (Winter 2021-22)

The online appendix is available here.

MAD and Taboo

U.S. Expert Views on Nuclear Deterrence, Coercion, and Non-Use Norms​

Foreign Policy Analysis, Vol. 17, No. 2 (April 2021) 

The online appendix is available hereraw numbers for figures here, data log file is available here, replication code is available here, and data here.

Disentangling Grand Strategy

International Relations Theory and U.S. Grand Strategy

With Jonathan N. Markowitz and Robert J. Reardon

Texas National Security Review, Vol. 2, No. 1 (November 2018)

Do US Troop Withdrawals Cause Instability?

Evidence from Two Exogenous Shocks on the Korean Peninsula

With Jonathan N. Markowitz and Robert J. Reardon

Journal of Global Security Studies, Vol. 3, No. 1 (January 2018), 72-92

Click here for the online appendix and here for the data.

Who's Afraid of the Bomb?

The Role of Nuclear Non-Use Norms in Confrontations between Nuclear and Non-Nuclear Opponents

Security Studies, Vol. 24, No. 4 (October-December 2015): 563-596.

Read the International Security Studies Forum article review here.

What Do Policymakers Want From Us?

Results of a Survey of Current and Former National Security Decision Makers

With Michael C. Desch

International Studies Quarterly Vol. 58, No. 2 (June 2014): 227-246.

Read additional discussions here, here, and the International Studies Quarterly symposium here.

Confronting Soviet Power

U.S. Policy during the Early Cold War


International Security, Vol. 36, No. 4 (Spring 2012): 151-188

Read the International Security Studies Forum article review here.

Book Chapters

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Bridging Theory Practice Divide in Inter

Selected Commentary


Implications of Afghanistan May Be Modest

The Roanoke Times, August 21, 2021

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The Icebreaker Gap Doesn't Mean America is Losing in the Arctic

War on the Rocks, November 28, 2019

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How We Should Deal with North Korea

The Roanoke Times, August 23, 2017

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Political Science and Policy: It Ain't Just Academic

War on the Rocks, September 29, 2014

Working Papers

The Fragility of the Nuclear Peace

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